Macrotech Research2023-12-05T03:12:54+02:00December 5th, 2023|Tags: EL, GLD, markets, Trade Ideas|
Investors should always pay attention to seasonality along with other market indicators. As we head into the festive season, we look at the Santa Claus rally and how it filters through to markets. We also unpack our latest trade ideas, economic insights and more.
Macrotech Research2023-11-27T23:57:27+02:00November 28th, 2023|Tags: HRI, markets, MNP, Trade Ideas|
It has been a brisk November with markets trading strongly but this week, we take stock of our risk matrix to inform some additional caution and a probability of a short term correction. Overall as the heading suggests, we see several indicators which given us reason for some caution and this has informed our trading strategies outlined in the full report. Our educational slide looks at credit ratings and their impact on economic and market variables.
Macrotech Research2023-11-20T22:23:17+02:00November 20th, 2023|Tags: CMS, markets, Trade Ideas, VOD|
US inflation data spurred an extension of the risk on move in markets last week. This week, we look at the US dollar and its complex relationship to financial markets in our educational slide and we also unpack where our risk indicators have moved and what this means for our positions and trade ideas.
Macrotech Research2023-11-14T06:06:01+02:00November 14th, 2023|Tags: ba, BID, markets, Trade Ideas|
Moody's shifted the US outlook to negative. This week, global attention is on retail sales and inflation. Our report delves into recent economic data, company news, and its impact on our trading. The educational feature explores equity trading volumes, their significance, lessons, and recent JSE trends.
Macrotech Research2023-11-07T02:09:40+02:00November 7th, 2023|Tags: ABG, HII, markets, Trade Ideas|
Last week's FED meeting has resulted in a short term 'Full Steam Ahead' approach. This has helped some of our speculative positions across equities, FX and more. We also saw a positive surprise from the SA MTBPS. But the clouds of war continue and influence some of the outlook as well as this week's trade idea. Details in our full report for paying subscribers.
Macrotech Research2023-10-31T03:34:17+02:00October 31st, 2023|Tags: ELV, markets, TFG, Trade Ideas|
We jump into Q3 earnings season in the US which may take some focus from geopolitical events. This report also covers last week's stronger than expected Chinese GDP data, higher than expected inflation in South Africa and as always, our most recent trade ideas!
Macrotech Research2023-10-24T00:17:14+02:00October 24th, 2023|Tags: CPRT, markets, SOL, Trade Ideas|
We jump into Q3 earnings season in the US which may take some focus from geopolitical events. This report also covers last week's stronger than expected Chinese GDP data, higher than expected inflation in South Africa and as always, our most recent trade ideas!
Macrotech Research2023-10-17T05:28:18+02:00October 17th, 2023|Tags: GRT, ICE, markets, Trade Ideas|
The IMF wrapped up their latest quarterly meetings against a challenging global backdrop with war dominating the headlines and overshadowing conventional economic news. The fund lowered growth forecasts for China and the euro zone, highlighting uneven global growth despite a strong U.S. economy. Global GDP projections remained at 3.0% for 2023 but were reduced to 2.9% for 2024. The risks from the Israel-Palestinian conflict were not incorporated into the outlook as the report was finalised before the conflict escalated. The IMF also advised caution in easing monetary policy due to persistently high inflation and cited more downside than upside risks for 2024. Our full report includes detail on the September FOMC minutes, US inflation data for September, Chinese CPI, total social financing (TSF) and trade data. We also look at SA mining and manufacturing production. We wrap up with our market updates and trade ideas.
Macrotech Research2023-10-10T01:57:48+02:00October 10th, 2023|Tags: CMLS, markets, S32, Trade Ideas|
War is horrendous and serves to dehumanize. The increasing prevalence of global conflict is a shocking indictment on humanity and the ability of civilization to transcend racial, ethnic and religious barriers. Innocent civilians, mothers and children always bear the brunt of these conflicts. In war, there is no right or wrong…just suffering and the pretext for the next conflict. Our hearts and minds are with the innocents affected on either side. Now to markets… After weeks of negative pressure, US markets rallied in the latter part of the week. The Dow closed slightly higher, the S&P 500 gained 0.6%, and the Nasdaq rose 1.3%, snapping a four-week losing streak. The US 10-year Treasury yield surged to a fresh 16-year high above 4.8% in October. This was driven by strong evidence of a tight labor market which bolstered expectations of the Federal Reserve maintaining its hawkish stance. The 30-year bond yield crossed the 5% threshold for the first time since August 2007.
Macrotech Research2023-10-03T03:06:32+02:00October 3rd, 2023|Tags: EXX, FNKO, markets, Trade Ideas|
Financial markets had a challenging week and month. The S&P 500 fell nearly 5% in September, marking its worst monthly performance since December. It also wrapped up the month with a fourth consecutive week of losses, ending Q3 on a low note. A hawkish Fed and risks of a now thankfully averted government shutdown weighed on sentiment. In commodities, gold and platinum continued to struggle, while oil prices remained high due to tight supply and demand. The market will watch an OPEC meeting mid-week this week closely. This week we consider 2 trade ideas based on a mean reversion strategy and include our educational slide detailing how mean reversion can be practically used. Details in our full report for paying subscribers.
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